NFL DRAFT · POST-COMBINE ANALYSIS

Three Picks.
One Direction.

The Buccaneers' three-day story starts with an offensive statement, gets physical in Round 2, and ends with a potential steal that most teams will regret passing on. Here's my three-round mock — and why I'm not second-guessing any of it.

BY JC CORNELL MARCH 2026 3 ROUNDS · 3 PICKS

Tampa Bay walks into the 2026 draft with real questions and a short runway to answer them. Lavonte David's future is uncertain. The edge-rush room without Haason Reddick looks thin, and losing Logan Hall strips depth from the defensive line interior. Cade Otton is a free agent. And Baker Mayfield — coming off a quietly good season — needs someone opposite Emeka Egbuka who can make the offense genuinely hard to defend. That's not a rebuild situation. That's a "get it right now" situation.

I ran the PFF mock draft simulator post-combine and these three picks kept coming back to me as the right answers. Not the safe answers. The right ones. Here's the full breakdown.

ROUND 1
PICK 15
Kenyon Sadiq
TE OREGON 6'3" · 241 LBS JR.
DAY 1 · ROUND 1
40-YARD DASH
4.39
VERTICAL JUMP
43.5"
BROAD JUMP
11'1"
2025 TDs
8
2025 REC
51

Let's start with what happened in Indianapolis, because it reframes everything. Kenyon Sadiq ran a 4.39 — the fastest 40 ever recorded by a tight end in combine history, breaking a mark that had stood since Vernon Davis in 2006. The 43.5-inch vertical and 11-foot-1 broad jump put him in company with DK Metcalf and Nick Emmanwori as the only players at 220-plus pounds to go sub-4.4, 40-inch vert, and 11-foot broad jump since 2003. Sadiq is the heaviest of the three. That isn't a tight end number. That's a freak-of-nature number.

"This is an insane combine stat: 40-yard dash top speed — 23.2 mph for TE Kenyon Sadiq. 23.2 mph for RB Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs at 199 lbs vs. Sadiq at 241 lbs. Both hit the same top speed."

But strip away the numbers and the football case is just as strong. Sadiq led all FBS tight ends in touchdown catches in 2025 with eight. He caught 51 balls on 15 games, with two touchdowns in the Big Ten Championship against Penn State when every scout in the building had him circled. He works zone coverage with real feel — settles into soft spots, presents himself as a clean target rather than drifting. Big moment player. Brings his best when the lights are brightest.

Now zoom out to Tampa's situation. Zac Robinson was hired as offensive coordinator from the McVay tree — the same system that just watched Kyle Pitts have his best NFL season. Cade Otton is gone. Mike Evans is unsigned and his future in Tampa is unresolved. Emeka Egbuka is Baker's primary weapon and he's a slot receiver, not a seam-stretcher. The Bucs desperately need someone who can punish two-high safeties, win on crossing routes, and threaten the end zone from multiple alignments. Sadiq does all three — and at 4.39 speed, no linebacker or safety in the league can match him man-to-man down the seam.

Some will push back. The blocking is a work in progress. He's light for an inline tight end at 241 pounds. Drops show up on film — not contested grabs, but routine throws above his numbers where his eyes wander a beat too early. These are real concerns. But the offensive case is overwhelming, and Jason Licht has never been afraid to draft offense when the right player falls to him. Egbuka last year proved that.

VERDICT

The boldest pick Tampa Bay can make — and the correct one. Sadiq is the best tight end in the draft by a significant margin and the kind of weapon that changes what an offense can do. Pair him with Egbuka and Robinson builds a passing game that nobody in the NFC South can defend.

WATCH LIST

Blocking technique and functional strength at the point of attack. Needs to add mass. Inconsistent hands on routine catches. These don't kill the pick — they define the coaching challenge in Year 1.

ROUND 2
PICK 46
Cashius Howell
EDGE TEXAS A&M 6'3" · 253 LBS SR.
DAY 2 · ROUND 2
2025 SACKS
11.5
2025 TFL
14
10-YD SPLIT
1.58s
40-YARD DASH
4.59
CAREER SACKS
27

Here's the thing about Cashius Howell: the reason he's available at 46 isn't because of what's on tape. It's because of a measurement. His arms came in at 30¾ inches — well below the 33-inch threshold most front offices use as a hard line at the edge position. That number spooked enough teams to push him out of the first round despite a résumé that reads like a first-rounder all the way.

Rewind the film and think about what this man actually did. He led the MAC in sacks as a redshirt sophomore at Bowling Green — then transferred to Texas A&M, sat behind two first-round edge rushers in Shemar Stewart and Nic Scourton for a year — then stepped into the starting role and led the SEC in sacks with 11.5. He finished as a unanimous All-American and SEC Defensive Player of the Year. That's not a prospect. That's a producer.

"His 1.58-second 10-yard split was the fastest among all edge rushers at the combine. That is the number that defines his game: explosive off the snap, relentless in close quarters, impossible to contain in pursuit."

At the combine, Howell's 10-yard split of 1.58 seconds was the best among all edge rushers. That's the metric that actually matters for pass rushers — it's about the first step, the burst off the line, the ability to beat a tackle before he can set his feet. His 4.59 forty for a 253-pound rusher is elite. And his coverage numbers are genuinely rare: Howell can peel off and hang with tight ends and running backs in zone drops, which gives Todd Bowles another chess piece in his scheme.

Tampa's edge room is in trouble. Reddick is gone. Yaya Diaby is the only established pass rusher on the depth chart. Howell pairs alongside Diaby as a legitimate two-pronged threat — a player who can win with speed around the arc on early downs and create chaos when teams try to run at the edge. Is he a scheme fit in every defense? No. But in Bowles' aggressive, multiple front, a speed rusher of this caliber with coverage chops is exactly what the doctor ordered.

The arm length will remain a question mark — no player with sub-31-inch arms has recorded double-digit sacks in an NFL season. But Howell's plan of attack, his pass rush sequencing, and his ability to set up counters suggest a player who understands how to win without relying on length. He won at the MAC level, then won at the SEC level. The NFL is the next challenge — and at 46, this is legitimate first-round value in a pewter jersey.

VERDICT

The best available pass rusher when Tampa picks in Round 2 — and likely a year-one contributor in Bowles' rotation. The arm concern is real but documented. At pick 46, you're getting SEC Defensive Player of the Year at a massive discount.

WATCH LIST

Arm length (30¾") is the obvious flag. Struggles to anchor in run defense when displaced at the point of attack. Power profile is a question against NFL tackles. These limitations may cap his ceiling — but his floor as a situational rusher is still very high.

ROUND 3
PICK 77
Anthony Hill Jr.
ILB TEXAS 6'3" · 238 LBS JR.
DAY 2 · ROUND 3
CAREER TACKLES
249
CAREER SACKS
17
2024 TFL
16.5
PROJECTED 40
4.50
RECRUIT RANK
5★

If Anthony Hill Jr. is still on the board at pick 77, Jason Licht should be sprinting to the podium. This is a consensus top-40 talent — ranked inside the top 35 on multiple expert big boards — dropping into the third round because of injury questions and a 2025 season that didn't fully match his monster 2024. When the tape says one thing and the stat line says another, you go back to the tape. The tape on Hill is exceptional.

This is a five-star recruit who started as a true freshman at Texas, recorded 67 tackles and five sacks, and won the Big 12 Defensive Freshman of the Year. In his sophomore year he posted 113 tackles, 16.5 tackles for loss, and eight sacks — numbers that led the SEC and put him on every national radar. He's only 21 years old. His ceiling hasn't been touched yet.

"Watch Texas play and the first thing that jumps out is how fast Hill gets from Point A to Point B. This is a linebacker who plays like his hair is on fire every snap — flying around the field with instincts that cannot be coached."

At 6'3" and 238 pounds, Hill has the profile of a modern linebacker who can do everything Bowles needs: defend the run downhill, blitz off the edge with his first-step burst, and cover in space. His athletic gifts don't just flash — they show up on every snap. The comparison that keeps surfacing is Dre Greenlaw: same instincts, same eye-popping closing burst, same ability to shoot gaps and arrive at the ball carrier faster than the play design suggests.

The context matters here too. Lavonte David has been the defensive backbone of this franchise for 14 years. He may or may not be back in 2026. Either way, Tampa needs a long-term answer at the linebacker position — a player who can grow into the green dot role, call the defense, and own the middle for the next decade. Hill's football IQ, his SEC pedigree, and his blitz production all suggest that player is already in there. He just needs reps.

A broken hand late in the 2025 season clouded his draft stock and cost him combine workouts in some categories. That injury, plus a statistical dip from his monster 2024, created enough noise for teams to fade him down boards. Their loss. Tampa's gain.

VERDICT

The steal of this draft class if he's there at 77. Top-35 talent with Day 3 noise around him. Fits Bowles' defense perfectly and could be Lavonte David's long-term successor. Buccaneers fans should be screaming for this pick the moment it happens.

WATCH LIST

Broken hand from November 2025 limited his combine showing. Tackling technique needs refinement — tends to latch rather than drive through contact. Statistical regression in 2025 created questions about consistency. None of these concerns should drop a player of this caliber to Round 3.

THE VERDICT

What This Draft Means for Tampa Bay

Read these three picks together and a clear philosophy emerges. Round 1 is an offensive statement — the Bucs refuse to concede that the Baker Mayfield era is a holding pattern. They're building around him with a generational weapon and betting that Robinson's system can unlock Sadiq the same way McVay unlocked Pitts. That's a high-conviction move, and I respect it completely.

Round 2 acknowledges the defensive reality. You cannot survive in this league without pass rush, and Howell at 46 is legitimate first-round value with a documented flaw. Pairing him with Diaby gives Bowles two legitimate edge threats for the first time in years. The arm length concern is real — but Howell's production from the MAC through the SEC suggests a player who knows how to win without relying on length.

Round 3 is where this draft becomes special. If Hill is there at 77 — and he very well might be, given the noise around his 2025 season — this is a top-35 prospect in red and pewter for a Day 3 price. A future green dot. A Lavonte David successor. The kind of pick that teams kick themselves over five years from now when they're watching him make All-Pro teams from the opposing sideline.

Three picks. Three picks made with conviction, not consensus. That's Bucs draft philosophy at its best.

Bucs Buzz · The Cornell Report

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